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Accurate prediction of parallel application performance in HPC systems is essential for efficient resource allocation and system design. Classical performance models estimate of speedup based on theoretical assumptions, but their applicability is limited by parameter estimation, data acquisition, and real-world system issues such as latency and network congestion. This paper describes performance prediction using classical performance models boosted by a trainable machine learning framework. Domain-informed machine-learning models estimate the overhead of an application for a given problem size and resource configuration as a coefficient of the estimated speedup provided by performance laws. We evaluate this approach on two HPC mini-applications and two full applications with varying patterns of computation and communication and also evaluate the prediction accuracy on runs with varying processors-per-node configurations. Our results show that this method significantly improves the accuracy of performance predictions over standard analytical models and black-box regressors, while remaining robust even with limited training data. 

Not AvailableNext-generation HPC clusters are evolving into highly heterogeneous systems that integrate traditional computing resources with emerging accelerator technologies such as quantum processors, neuromorphic units, dataflow architectures, and specialized AI accelerators within a unified infrastructure. These advanced systems enable workloads to dynamically utilize different accelerators during various computation phases, creating complex execution patterns. The performance of the workloads can therefore be impacted by many factors, including how the accelerators are shared, their utilization, and their placement within the system. Moreover, effects such as the system and network state due to the overall system load can significantly impact the job completion rate. Understanding, identifying, and quantifying the impact of the most critical factors (e.g., the number of allocated accelerators) will help decide the investment decisions for accelerator acquisition and deployment that can improve the overall system throughput. This paper extensively studies these complex interactions among advanced accelerators within an HPC cluster and various workloads. We introduce a novel analytical model which predicts the speedup of a workload given an accelerator/system configuration. This model can be used to quantify the effect of augmenting additional accelerators on job performance running on an HPC cluster. We validate the model using both simulated and real environments.